Dolphins +1.5 versus Jets (in London)
Miami's offensive coordinator, Bill Lazor, came from the Eagles, and they got their offense going a bit despite a tough matchup on paper against these Jets last week. The Dolphins' defense has to live up to their potential eventually, don't they?
Jaguars +9 at Colts
Can't feel comfortable laying this many points with Andrew Luck's status up in the air, despite Jacksonville getting shellacked on the road last week.
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| Feed T.J. Yeldon; stay in the game. |
Texans +6 at Falcons
The possible return of Arian Foster is enough for me to take the points here, especially with Atlanta showing some of their weaknesses last week before their big comeback.
Panthers -3 at Buccaneers
This line is more than reasonable for arguably the class of the NFC South against a team that lacks much of a home field advantage. How Carolina's emerging shutdown corner, Josh Norman, handles the size of Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson should be fun to watch.
Bills -5.5 versus Giants
Buffalo looks like a pretty complete team right now and are at home against a New York team with all kinds of holes, which Karlos Williams should expose as he continues his run as a ROY contender.
Raiders -3 at Bears
Being in Chicago for work this week, I got an idea of how the locals feel about their team...I'll just say that one of these teams looks like the worst in the league, and it's not the one coming off back to back wins.
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| Amari Cooper should continue his smooth ways in the Windy City. |
Eagles -3 at Redskins
Hurricane Joaquin could complicate things, but Jordan Matthews should have his way this secondary. Philadelphia has a stout run defense, and we've seen what happens when Washington is forced into being one-dimensional with Kirk Cousins.
Bengals -3.5 versus Chiefs
Sean Smith's return from suspension should provide a much needed boost to Kansas City's secondary, but Cincinnati's pass offense continues to be red hot. I could watch this A.J. Green touchdown all day:
Chargers -5 versus Browns
I was tempted to take the points with Cleveland due to San Diego's offensive line injuries, but fortunately, the line came down from -7. This is as a good a spot as any for the Chargers' defense to get on track with Josh McCown coming to town.
Packers -7.5 at 49ers
The combination of how San Francisco has been gashed through the air the last two weeks and Aaron Rodgers staying surgical with 5 TDs on MNF, I'm surprised the line has actually come down from -9.5. Whenever these teams meet, it's hard not to think of how Aaron Rodgers should have been the #1 overall pick out of nearby Cal in 2005, and you wonder if he would have developed in quite the same way he did in Green Bay. Now, Jared Goff possibly presents a second chance if things don't turn around for the 49ers.
Broncos -7 versus Vikings
Laying this many points against Adrian Peterson is never a comfortable feeling, but I continue to maintain that Denver has the best defense in the league. Peyton Manning appeared in control of his offense again last week and is back at home for this one.
Cardinals -7 versus Rams
This one is not as difficult a choice, but you never know with divisional games. The St. Louis shocker against Seattle seems more and more like aberration, though, while I was wrong about Arizona taking a step back on defense.
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| If you want a TD, Carson Palmer is taking orders. |
I'll be honest: I'm not exactly sure what to do with this horrible Sunday night game. The line being bet all the way down from 7 points to 3 doesn't seem to make sense with Drew Brees being announced as healthy enough to give it a go. Taking the points and counting on the Cowboys' offensive line continuing to dominate against Rob Ryan's sorry unit is tempting, but you've got to go with Brees over Brandon Weeden.
Lions +9.5 at Seahawks
The desperation narrative isn't exactly reliable, but Detroit needs to get in the W column and might be facing a Marshawn Lynch-less team. Actually pulling one out in Seattle is likely too tall a task, but they should hang with them, especially with Joique Bell likely unavailable to sap touches away from Ameer Abdullah.
Last week: 8-8
2015 Season Total: 26-21-2
The desperation narrative isn't exactly reliable, but Detroit needs to get in the W column and might be facing a Marshawn Lynch-less team. Actually pulling one out in Seattle is likely too tall a task, but they should hang with them, especially with Joique Bell likely unavailable to sap touches away from Ameer Abdullah.
Last week: 8-8
2015 Season Total: 26-21-2
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