Saturday, November 28, 2015

2015 NFL Week 12 Picks

Eagles +2 at Lions
Cowboys PK versus Carolina
Packers -8 versus Bears

Texans -3 versus Saints

Vikings +2 at Atlanta

Bengals -9 versus Rams

Colts -3 versus Buccaneers

Giants -2.5 at Redskins

Raiders -1 at Titans

Chiefs -5.5 versus Bills

Jets -4 versus Dolphins

Jaguars -5 versus Chargers

49ers +10 versus Cardinals

Steelers +3.5 at Seahawks

Broncos +3 versus Patriots

Ravens +3 at Browns

Last week: 7-4-3
2015 Season total: 83-71-9

Saturday, November 21, 2015

2015 NFL Week 11 Picks

Jaguars -3 versus Titans

Aside from the first play after Rashad Greene's big punt return when Derrick Morgan was inexplicably on Julius Thomas, Jacksonville's red zone play-calling almost negated their strength, but their defense came through in the end just like in this game last year.

Redskins +7.5 at Panthers

Carolina's defense is a whole other animal than the pathetic New Orleans unit they faced last week, but I still like Washington to cover this line that's too high. Although the Panthers should win at home, I still don't trust their weapons to pull away from a decent team.

Raiders -1.5 at Lions

Detroit won in Green Bay for the first time since 1991 and is at home against an Oakland team coming off back to back losses, but their secondary has suffered a ton of injuries. This one could be a shootout, but the Raiders' healthier defense should end their losing streak.
With Darius Slay likely shadowing Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree should stay hot against Detroit's backup corners.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

2015 NFL Week 10 Picks

Jets -2.5 versus Bills

I wasn't too far off about Buffalo having struggles moving the ball but didn't account for New York constantly shooting themselves in the foot.

Packers -10.5 versus Lions

After facing back to back great defenses on the road, I like Green Bay's chances of putting up points in Lambo. In particular, I like Randall Cobb going against Josh Wilson in the slot.

Cowboys -1 at Buccaneers

Matt Cassel's had his ups and downs, but this is a good opportunity to finally lead Dallas to a win against a bad secondary. It's pretty amazing that Tampa is now 1-11 at home under Lovie Smith.
At least Cassel knows to just give Dez Bryant a chance to make a play.

Saturday, November 7, 2015

2015 NFL Week 9 Picks

Bengals -11.5 versus Browns

Hey I finally got a Thursday pick right! Think I covered everything here, but I'll add that watching Tyler Eifert just tower over everyone in the end zone is just as fun in the pros as when he was at Notre Dame.

Raiders +4.5 at Steelers

This should be a fun shootout between two old rivals with exploitable secondaries. The early game on the East coast is a concern, but Oakland has been playing well enough to stay competitive.
 With a weapon like Amari Cooper, I'm glad Derek Carr is slinging it downfield more in his second year.

Saturday, October 31, 2015

2015 NFL Week 8 Picks

Dolphins +8 at Patriots

I thought the rejuvenated 'Phins under Dan Campbell could put up a fight against the defending champs, but New England is in a completely different stratosphere than their previous opponents.

Lions +3.5 versus Chiefs (in London)

Kansas City's offense line is coming together and playing much better than their Detroit counterpart, but I'm counting on the Lions coaching shakeup kick starting the offense and taking the points with the team who got a win in London last year.

Vikings PK at Bears

Minnesota continues to be underrated despite their defense's high level of play. Chicago's defense has been trending upward, as well, but I think the Vikings can put up points in this one.
All Day always kills the Bears, averaging 116.3 rushing yards in 12 career games against them.

Sunday, October 25, 2015

2015 NFL Week 7 NFL Picks

49ers +6.5 versus Seahawks

I should have known better than to stick with the home team getting points on a short week. Seattle always poses a bad matchup for them with their pass rush and specifically Cliff Avril on the right side.

Jaguars +4 versus Bills (in London)

It's tempting to go with the better team on the neutral field, but Buffalo just has too many injuries to deal with. Seeing studly wide receiver Allen Robinson do battle with impressive corners Ronald Darby and Stephon Gillmore should be fun to watch.

Rams -6.5 versus Browns

Todd Gurley against Cleveland's run defense just isn't fair. The line is a bit high, but I'll lay the points against Josh McCown on the road.
Gurley often looks like a man among boys out there.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

2015 NFL Week 6 Picks

Falcons -3 at Saints

The Saints defense didn't exactly stop the Falcons so much that they stopped themselves. Atlanta's inability to adjust to the ageless Ben Watson continuously killing them was astounding, but I should have known better than to expect them to remain undefeated with the short week on the road.

Broncos -3.5 at Browns

It's officially time to worry about Peyton Manning after his struggles continued against Oakland's underwhelming secondary, but Cleveland's missing top corner Joe Haden for this game. I'm counting on Josh McCown coming back down to earth against the best defense in the league.

Bengals -3 at Bills

Coming off Cincinnati's dramatic comeback, this line almost feels like a trap against a backup quarterback that doesn't have a ton of game film to study, but Buffalo's offense is so banged up right now. I'll take my chances with the better team against E.J. Manuel.

Vikings -3.5 versus Chiefs

Kansas City was looking good last week until the horrible Jamaal Charles injury, and now they're on the road against a talented team coming off a bye week. Minnesota's strong secondary will make it tough for Alex Smith to try and carry the offense.
Charcandrick West might be a poor man's Charles, but they'll need more than that.