2015 NFL Week 14 Picks

Cardinals -10 versus Vikings

I should've taken Minnesota once the line got this high, and they covered the original line, anyway. Their banged up defense held up better than I expected, particularly in the red zone to keep them in it.

Steelers +2.5 at Bengals

Although I kind of like the home to win it, I can't lay points against Big Ben in his native Ohio, where he is 18-4 in his career, including the playoffs.

Cameron Heyward and this defensive line will have to make plays to cover up for their secondary.

2015 NFL Week 13 Picks

Packers -3 at Lions

Never in doubt! Yeah right. I probably should have taken the home 'dogs considering they did pull off the upset in Lambeau last month, but that could also be viewed as extra motivation for a team in the playoff race. Regardless, that was some kind of throw by Aaron Rodgers to win it.

Bears -6.5 versus 49ers

I've gone back and forth on whether to just take the points or not, but the Niners defense just isn't the same on the road. Of course, their former defensive coordinator, Vic Fangio, now holds that role in Chicago and should have been retained, either as the head coach or as the DC for Adam Gase, who ended up as offensive coordinator for the Bears.

Bengals -7.5 at Browns

With Johnny Manziel continued immaturity, it's the Austin Davis show in Cleveland, which shouldn't challenge Cincinnati. The way he mismanaged that 2 minute drill on Monday night was incredible, and their defense still has no chance of stopping the Bengals.

Andy Dalton shredded this defense in their previous matchup and shouldn't face much resistance again.

2015 NFL Week 12 Picks

Eagles +2 at Lions

Cowboys PK versus Panthers

Packers -8 versus Bears

Have I mentioned that I hate Thursday games? I should have known better than to think Philadelphia would make a last push for the playoffs in their poor division since they apparently quit on Chip Kelly; shouldn't have gotten too cute thinking this was the week Carolina finally stumbles just because of the schedule; and should have went with my first instinct of taking the points with Chicago, with a healthy skill position group, given Green Bay's inconsistency this year. That will put a dent in my season total listed below.

Texans -3 versus Saints

Every fantasy football player in the world knows Brian Hoyer and all Houston players are strong plays this week against the league's worst defense, even if Rob Ryan was replaced with Dennis Allen. New Orleans coming off a bye is a little bit of a concern, but rookie Kevin Johnson and this Texans defenders are hitting their stride.

Vikings +2 at Falcons

I can see why Atlanta is favored considering that they're at home and have Julio Jones going against an up and down secondary, but Minnesota is just the better team. Although I like Tevin Coleman's chances as the starter again with Devonta Freeman out with a concussion, Mike Zimmer's defense and Adrian Peterson should pull out the win.

Yo, Adrian! (You'll be hearing that a lot this weekend with Creed out and what should be a big game)

2015 NFL Week 11 Picks

Jaguars -3 versus Titans

Aside from the first play after Rashad Greene's big punt return when Derrick Morgan was inexplicably on Julius Thomas, Jacksonville's red zone play-calling almost negated their strength, but their defense came through in the end just like in this game last year.

Redskins +7.5 at Panthers

Carolina's defense is a whole other animal than the pathetic New Orleans unit they faced last week, but I still like Washington to cover this line that's too high. Although the Panthers should win at home, I still don't trust their weapons to pull away from a decent team.

Raiders -1.5 at Lions

Detroit won in Green Bay for the first time since 1991 and is at home against an Oakland team coming off back to back losses, but their secondary has suffered a ton of injuries. This one could be a shootout, but the Raiders' healthier defense should end their losing streak.

With Darius Slay likely shadowing Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree should stay hot against Detroit's backup corners.

2015 NFL Week 10 Picks

Jets -2.5 versus Bills

I wasn't too far off about Buffalo having struggles moving the ball but didn't account for New York constantly shooting themselves in the foot.

Packers -10.5 versus Lions

After facing back to back great defenses on the road, I like Green Bay's chances of putting up points in Lambo. In particular, I like Randall Cobb going against Josh Wilson in the slot.

Cowboys -1 at Buccaneers

Matt Cassel's had his ups and downs, but this is a good opportunity to finally lead Dallas to a win against a bad secondary. It's pretty amazing that Tampa is now 1-11 at home under Lovie Smith.

At least Cassel knows to just give Dez Bryant a chance to make a play.

2015 NFL Week 9 Picks

Bengals -11.5 versus Browns

Hey I finally got a Thursday pick right! Think I covered everything here, but I'll add that watching Tyler Eifert just tower over everyone in the end zone is just as fun in the pros as when he was at Notre Dame.

Raiders +4.5 at Steelers

This should be a fun shootout between two old rivals with exploitable secondaries. The early game on the East coast is a concern, but Oakland has been playing well enough to stay competitive.

 With a weapon like Amari Cooper, I'm glad Derek Carr is slinging it downfield more in his second year.

2015 NFL Week 8 Picks

Dolphins +8 at Patriots

I thought the rejuvenated 'Phins under Dan Campbell could put up a fight against the defending champs, but New England is in a completely different stratosphere than their previous opponents.

Lions +3.5 versus Chiefs (in London)

Kansas City's offense line is coming together and playing much better than their Detroit counterpart, but I'm counting on the Lions coaching shakeup kick starting the offense and taking the points with the team who got a win in London last year.

Vikings PK at Bears

Minnesota continues to be underrated despite their defense's high level of play. Chicago's defense has been trending upward, as well, but I think the Vikings can put up points in this one.

All Day always kills the Bears, averaging 116.3 rushing yards in 12 career games against them.