2019 NFL Week 17 Picks

Home Favorites

Bills -1.5 versus Jets

Chiefs -8.5 versus Chargers

Cowboys -10.5 versus Redskins

Home Underdogs

Giants +4.5 versus Eagles

Road Underdogs

Bears +1.5 at Vikings

Falcons +0.5 at Buccaneers

Dolphins +15.5 at Patriots

Cardinals +7.5 at Rams

Raiders +3.5 at Broncos

Road Favorites

Browns -2.5 at Bengals

Saints -13.5 at Panthers

Packers -13.5 at Lions

Steelers -2.5 at Ravens

Titans -4.5 at Texans

If the Chiefs somehow get upset in the early game to leave the door open for Houston to move up to the 3 seed, I may change this pick.

Colts -3.5 at Jaguars

49ers -3.5 at Seahawks

Last week: 7-9

Season total: 134-106

2019 NFL Week 16 Picks

Home Favorites

Patriots -6.5 versus Bills

49ers -6.5 versus Rams

Redskins -2.5 versus Gians

Broncos -6.5 versus Lions

Home Underdogs

Titans +3.5 versus Saints UPDATE: I was on the fence with this one, but with Derrick Henry inactive, I'm switching to New Orleans despite it being outdoors on a short week.

Browns +10.5 versus Ravens

Road Favorites

Texans -3.5 at Buccaneers

Steelers -2.5 at Jets

Cowboys -2.5 at Eagles

Chiefs -4.5 at Bears

Road Underdogs

Panthers +6.5 at Colts

Bengals +1.5 at Dolphins

Jaguars +7.5 at Falcons

Raiders +6.5 at Chargers

Cardinals +9.5 at Seahawks

Packers +4.5 at Vikings

Last week: 8-8

Season total: 127-97

2019 NFL Week 15 Picks

Road Underdogs

Jets +14.5 at Ravens

Dolphins +3.5 at Giants

Texans +3.5 at Titans

Bears +4.5 at Packers

Road Favorites

Buccaneers -3.5 at Lions

Patriots -9.5 at Bengals

Vikings -2.5 at Chargers

Browns -2.5 at Cardinals

Home Underdogs

Redskins +4.5 versus Eagles

Panthers +6.5 versus Seahawks

Cowboys +0.5 versus Rams

Home Favorites

Chiefs -10.5 versus Broncos

Raiders -6.5 versus Jaguars

49ers -10.5 versus Falcons

Steelers -2.5 versus Bills

Saints -9.5 versus Colts

2019 NFL Week 14 Picks

Home Favorites

Buccaneers -2.5 versus Colts

Packers -12.5 versus Redskins

Texans -9.5 versus Broncos

Eagles -8.5 versus Giants

Home Underdogs

Bears +2.5 versus Cowboys

Rams +1.5 versus Seahawks

Road Favorites

Ravens -5.5 at Bills

Chargers -2.5 at Jaguars

Titans -2.5 at Raiders

Steelers -2.5 at Cardinals

Road Underdogs

49ers +2.5 at Saints

Dolphins +5.5 at Jets

Bengals +8.5 at Browns

Lions +14.5 at Vikings

Panthers +2.5 at Falcons

Chiefs +3.5 at Patriots

Last week: 11-5
Season total: 107-85

2019 NFL Week 13 Picks

Home Favorites

Cowboys -6.5 versus Bills 

Panthers -9.5 versus Redskins

Chiefs -9.5 versus Raiders

Road Underdogs

Buccaneers +1.5 at Jaguars

49ers +4.5 at Ravens

Titans +2.5 at Colts

Vikings +3.5 at Seahawks

Home Underdogs

Bengals +3.5 versus Jets

Dolphins +9.5 versus Eagles

Texans +3.5 versus Patriots

Road Favorites

Bears -2.5 at Lions

Saints -6.5 at Falcons

Browns -1.5 at Steelers

Packers -6.5 at Giants

Rams -4.5 at Cardinals

Chargers -2.5 at Broncos

2019 NFL Week 12 Picks

Home Underdogs

Bengals +6.5 versus Steelers

It's been hard to trust Pittsburgh's offense laying any points let alone a touchdown on the road, and now they're missing their two best players in JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner. This could be Cincy's chance to get Zac Taylor his first win.

Jets +3.5 versus Raiders

Don't look now, but Sam Darnold and New York have played well the past couple of weeks. That was against week competition from the NFC LEast, but Oakland's defense can also be beat to keep this game interesting as a 10:00 AM game West Coast time.

Rams +3.5 versus Ravens

LA's defense has been playing great since acquiring Jalen Ramsey, so give me the points and home team in what should be a tightly contested affair on Monday night.

Road Underdogs

Dolphins +10.5 at Browns

Miami let me down last week after they had been playing competitive ball, but this is still too many points for an inconsistent team like Cleveland to be laying, especially with their best defensive player suspended indefinitely. I will say that this could be the blowup spot for Odell Beckham Jr. after he looked on the verge of a breakout game last week, so that does have me worried.

Buccaneers +4.5 at Falcons

Is Atlanta's newfound defense for real after shaking up coaching responsibilities around the bye week? Maybe. Tampa tends to play better on the road, though, so I'll take the points in a tough division game.

Panthers +9.5 at Saints

The other battle of NFC South teams has an even larger spread, and it may be justified with the way Kyle Allen turned the ball over last week. Carolina is too talented of a team to be getting this many points, though, and their pass rush is one of the best Drew Brees has faced this year.

Jaguars +3.5 at Titans

I'm trying not to overreact to Jacksonville's disappointing defensive showing last week, and this game should provide a better game script that lets them get Leonard Fournette going on the ground. 

Road Favorites

Lions -3.5 at Redskins

Dwayne Haskins just doesn't look ready, which is understandable given his lack of experience, and Jeff Driskel has kept Detroit competitive. Laying more than a field goal is a little surprising for a suspect defense, but I don't have any faith in Washington at this point.

Home Favorites

Texans -3.5 versus Colts

Welp, I had the winning team right; they just fell a half point shy.

Bills -4.5 versus Broncos

I've gone back and forth on this one, and if it was another point higher I would probably go with Denver. Buffalo's defense is good enough that they can take care of business at home against Brandon Allen.

Bears -6.5 versus Giants

This line being so high is kind of crazy, but Chicago's defense could cover it by themselves against Daniel Jones. New York's defense is soft enough that it can get offenses back on track, too.

Patriots -6.5 versus Cowboys

Another surprisingly high spread, but New England's defense fears no one, not even the league leader in passing yards. Dallas giving up 55 points over the past two weeks could bode well for the Pats offense that badly needs Isaiah Wynn coming back at left tackle this week.

Eagles -1.5 versus Seahawks

Even coming off of a bye, Seattle has a couple of key players like Jadeveon Clowney and Tyler Lockett banged up, and at some point their luck in close games will regress to the mean. Seven of their eight wins have been by a touchdown or less, including back to back overtime wins, compared to Philly being 2-3 in such games. I'll take the home team in a close one.

49ers -3.5 versus Packers

Winning by more than a field goal against an 8-2 team coming off of a bye might be asking a lot, but San Francisco should be getting George Kittle back for this key game in the NFC playoff picture at least. I'd be more concerned if Green Bay was more consistent, especially in their usage of Aaron Jones. It's felt apparent to basically everyone but the Packers' coaches the last couple of years that he clearly makes the offense more dynamic, and Bill Barnwell backed that up with evidence that his presence on the field essentially transforms them from the 25th best offense to #1. We'll see if they finally commit to him as a true workhorse coming out of the bye.

Last week: 10-4

Season total: 90-72

2019 NFL Week 11 Picks

Home Favorites

Browns -2.5 versus Steelers

Panthers -5.5 versus Falcons

Ravens -4.5 versus Texans

Home Underdogs

Dolphins +5.5 versus Bills

Road Favorites

Cowboys -3.5 at Lions

Saints -5.5 at Buccaneers

Patriots -3.5 at Eagles

Chiefs -3.5 vs Chargers (in Mexico City)

Road Underdogs

Jaguars +2.5 at Colts

Broncos +10.5 at Vikings

Jets +1.5 at Redskins

Cardinals +13.5 at 49ers

Bengals +10.5 at Raiders

Bears +6.5 at Rams

Last week: 6-7

Season total: 80-68

2019 NFL Week 10 Picks

Road Favorites

Chargers -1.5 at Raiders

Ravens -9.5 at Bengals

Chiefs -3.5 at Titans

Rams -3.5 at Steelers

Road Underdogs

Bills +2.5 at Browns

Dolphins +10.5 at Colts

Vikings +2.5 at Cowboys

Home Underdogs

Jets +2.5 versus Giants

Home Favorites

Bears -2.5 versus Lions

Buccaneers -4.5 versus Cardinals

Saints -12.5 versus Falcons

Packers -4.5 versus Panthers

49ers -6.5 versus Seahawks

2019 NFL Week 9 Picks

Road Favorites

49ers -9.5 at Cardinals

Texans -2.5 versus Jaguars (in London)

Jets -5.5 at Dolphins

Browns -2.5 at Broncos

Packers -3.5 at Chargers

Road Underdogs

Vikings +2.5 at Chiefs

Buccaneers +6.5 at Seahawks

Lions +2.5 at Raiders

Home Underdogs

Steelers +0.5 versus Colts

Ravens +3.5 versus Patriots

Giants +7.5 versus Cowboys

Home Favorites

Eagles -4.5 versus Bears

Panthers -3.5 versus Titans

Bills -9.5 versus Redskins

Last week: 9-6
Season total: 67-54

2019 NFL Week 8 Picks

Vikings -15.5 versus Redskins

Colts -6.5 versus Broncos

Chargers +4.5 at Bears

Seahawks -3.5 at Falcons

Jaguars -5.5 versus Jets

Saints -9.5 versus Cardinals

Eagles +1.5 at Bills

Rams -12.5 versus Bengals (in London)

Buccaneers +2.5 at Titans

49ers -5.5 versus Panthers

Patriots -12.5 versus Browns

Texans -6.5 versus Raiders

Packers -4.5 at Chiefs

Steelers -14.5 versus Dolphins

2019 NFL Week 7 Picks

Road Favorites

Chiefs -3.5 at Broncos

49ers -9.5 at Redskins

Jaguars -3.5 at Bengals

Rams -3.5 at Falcons

Home Underdogs

Jets +9.5 versus Patriots

Home Favorites

Giants -2.5 versus Cardinals

Packers -6.5 versus Raiders

Bears -3.5 versus Saints

Cowboys -2.5 versus Eagles

Road Underdogs

Dolphins +16.5 at Bills

Texans +1.5 at Colts

Vikings +0.5 at Lions

Chargers +2.5 at Titans

Ravens +3.5 at Seahawks

Last week: 7-7

Season total: 50-42

2019 NFL Week 6 Picks

Home Favorites

Patriots -16.5 versus Giants

I'm honestly surprised that there was a portion of my picks pool that took the Giants. With that defense on a ridiculous run right now, New England should've won by even more if not for the first half blunders keeping New York in the game.

Ravens -11.5 versus Bengals

Lamar Jackson has come back down to earth with Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews banged up, but a couple of his interceptions last week (which led to them not covering by half a point...) were bad luck. At home again versus the 0-5 Bengals, this should be a get well week, even if it is a division game.

Chargers -6.5 versus Broncos

I was right to go against the Chargers with this large of a spread last week "at home," but with Devlin Hodges starting this week, you basically have to lay the points here...even with the typical strong road Steelers fan base invading LA.

Packers -4.5 versus Lions

Davante Adams' likely absence again hurt, but the #FreeAaronJones movement was validated in the largest way possible last week with the four scores. I'm still not a believer in Detroit, so coming off of the bye week doesn't scare me here.

Road Favorites

Panthers -2.5 versus Buccaneers (in London)

This is assuming that the monster known as Christian McCaffrey  plays like he appears on track to.

Redskins -3.5 at Dolphins

Falcons -1.5 at Cardinals

Home Underdogs

Jets +8.5 versus Cowboys

Road Underdogs

Saints +1.5 at Jaguars

Texans +5.5 at Chiefs

Eagles +2.5 at Vikings

Seahawks +2.5 at Browns

49ers +4.5 at Rams

Titans +2.5 at Broncos

2019 NFL Week 5 Picks

Road Underdogs

Rams +1.5 at Seahawks

I can't believe Zuerlein missed that, but at least they still managed to cover after the 2-point conversion shenanigans.

Cardinals +4.5 at Bengals

Falcons +4.5 at Texans

Broncos +6.5 at Chargers

Packers +3.5 at Cowboys

Road Favorites

Patriots -15.5 at Redskins

Vikings -4.5 at Giants

Bears -4.5 versus Raiders (in London)

Ravens -4.5 at Steelers

Home Favorites

Saints -3.5 versus Buccaneers

Eagles -13.5 versus Jets

Panthers -3.5 versus Jaguars

Titans -2.5 versus Bills

Chiefs -10.5 versus Colts

49ers -3.5 versus Browns

2019 NFL Week 4 Picks

Road Favorites

Patriots -7.5 at Bills

Chiefs -6.5 at Lions

Chargers -16.5 at Dolphins

Cowboys -3.5 at Saints

Road Underdogs

Redskins +2.5 at Giants

Browns +6.5 at Ravens

Titans +3.5 at Falcons

Bengals +4.5 at Steelers

Home Underdogs

Cardinals +4.5 versus Seahawks

Home Favorites

Packers -4.5 versus Eagles (whoops)

Colts -6.5 versus Raiders

Texans -4.5 versus Panthers

Rams -9.5 versus Buccaneers

Bears -2.5 versus Vikings

Broncos -2.5 versus Jaguars

2019 NFL Week 3 Picks

Road Favorites

Titans -1.5 at Jaguars

Rams -2.5 at Browns

Bears -4.5 at Redskins

Home Underdogs

Cardinals +2.5 versus Panthers

Road Underdogs

Falcons +2.5 at Colts

Bengals +5.5 at Bills

Ravens +6.5 at Chiefs

Giants +6.5 at Buccaneers

Home Favorites

Eagles -6.5 versus Lions

Cowboys -21.5 versus Dolphins

Vikings -7.5 versus Raiders

Patriots -22.5 versus Jets

Packers -7.5 versus Broncos

Seahawks -3.5 versus Saints

Chargers -3.5 versus Texans

49ers -6.5 versus Steelers

Last week: 12-4

Season total: 20-12

2019 NFL Week 2 Picks

Week 2 is always one of the toughest weeks since you finally have information but don't want to overreact to a small sample size. Fortunately, I got the TNF pick right for once since the spread was too high for a divisional game between two teams that have talent, so we're off to a good start!

This week: 1-0
Last week: 8-8

Home Favorites

Titans -3.5 versus Colts

Packers -2.5 versus Vikings

Steelers -3.5 versus Seahawks

Rams -2.5 versus Saints

Home Underdogs

Giants +2.5 versus Bills

Falcons +0.5 versus Eagles

Road Underdogs

Buccaneers +6.5 at Panthers

(Nailed it.)

Jaguars +8.5 at Texans

49ers +0.5 at Bengals

Cardinals +13.5 at Ravens

Road Favorites

Chargers -2.5 at Lions

Patriots -18.5 at Dolphins

Cowboys -4.5 at Redskins

Chiefs -8.5 at Raiders

Bears -1.5 at Broncos

Browns -2.5 at Jets

2019 NFL Win Totals and Week 1 Picks

We've finally arrived: it's football season! As usual, I'll be making picks in a CBSSports.com pool based on their listed spreads and writing each week my reasoning behind them. To start the year, I'm picking each team's over/under based on the win totals listed on Bovada.lv based on their records last year, offseason moves, and their Expected Wins listed on Pro-Football-Reference.com based on points scored and allow. I also made these picks before last night's game, I swear.

Road Favorites

Ravens -5.5 at Dolphins

Dolphins (7 wins last year; 5.2 expected wins) UNDER 4.5: I grouped these by category, but it works out nicely that it starts with the team I expect to be the worst in the league. Miami is doing a great job of acquiring draft assets in future drafts, but that's left a team that previously overachieved now without many quality players on the roster under rookie coach Brian Flores, especially on the offensive line following the Laremy Tunsil trade for the mother load.

Ravens (10 wins; 10.8 expected wins) OVER 8.5: They lost two key pass rushers but did manage to replace Eric Weddle with Earl Thomas to keep the secondary among the best in the league. I'm cautiously optimistic about Greg Roman developing Lamar Jackson and this offense that added Mark Ingram and rookie receivers Marquise Brown and Miles Boykin, both of whom I'm high on. So while I think they might be one of the teams that drops out of the playoffs since half do every year, I don't expect a major step back from last season. In any case, they're plenty strong enough that Week 1 shouldn't pose many problems besides being another stupidly scheduled hot game in Florida early in the season.

Chiefs -4.5 at Jaguars

Chiefs (12 wins; 10.7 expected wins) OVER 10.5: And from the lowly Dolphins we go to the team that has the best chance to topple the Patriots for the crown. Even if LeSean McCoy ends up being as done as he looked last year, I believe in Damien Williams enough to provide the minimal support on the ground needed for Patrick Mahomes to lead another top flight offense. I didn't love all of their changes on defense, but any improvement under new coordinator Steve Spagnuolo could be enough to get them over the top. I also don't love how high this spread is on the road against a tough defense, but there's a lot less uncertainty with them to go along with the quarterback advantage.

Jaguars (5 wins; 5.7 expected wins) UNDER 8: Although Nick Foles almost has to be an improvement under center by default, there's still a lot left to be desired along the offense. A healthier offensive line and Leonard Fournette can make things easier for Foles to find breakout candidates Dede Westbrook and D.J. Chark, but that's far from a given. On the other side, Josh Allen was a steal with the 7th pick, but the absences of Telvin Smith and Tashaun Gipson will make it tough to remain elite.

Lions -2.5 at Cardinals

Cardinals (3 wins; 2.9 expected wins) UNDER 5: The team with the worst record last year carries a lot of intrigue with their sweeping changes that brought in rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury and rookie quarterback Kyler Murray. They should be a lot more competitive with this new Air Raid offense that can help overcome questions along a new offensive line, but the defense isn't likely to keep up, especially in the secondary while Patrick Peterson is suspended.

Lions (6 wins; 7 expected wins) UNDER 6: Similar to their Week 1 opponent, I have concerns about the secondary and, more importantly in this case, the coaching. The run-first nature of coach Matt Patricia and new offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell doesn't appear to play to the roster's strengths and caps the team's ceiling in a division containing tough defenses. That being said, Matthew Stafford should have a field day against this week's defense with whatever passing volume he receives.

Blog Update

Anyone viewing the blog over the summer may be wondering why there haven't been any updates since the initial wave of NBA free agency signings, so I wanted to write a quick post to explain. You may know that I have been working in game operations for the Santa Cruz Warriors the past two seasons, but around the time of free agency I began interviewing for multiple positions with Golden State and now have a new role with them. All views on this blog remain mine only, but to avoid conflicts of interest, I'm going to be limiting the amount of writing on the NBA I'll be doing.

My usual NFL content will still be coming on a regular basis both here and on The Sports Fan Journal, and I am incredibly excited for this upcoming season! To start, here are Five Rookie Receivers Poised to Contribute in Year 1, in which I looked at their college market shares, combine numbers, and teams' available opportunities.

2019 NBA Offseason Days 10-12 Recap aka the Westbrook/Paul swap!

Brodie reunites with the Beard and CP3 returns to OKC
Rockets receive:

Russell Westbrook

$38,506,482

$41,358,814

$44,211,146

$47,063,478

Thunder receive:

Chris Paul

$38,506,482

$41,358,814

$44,211,146

1st round picks in 2024 and 2026 (both protected 1-4)Right to swap picks in 2021 (protected 1-4) and 2025 (protected 1-20)

Marcus Morris officially changes course and signs with the Knicks: 1 year, $15 million
        $38,506,482

Kelly Oubre Jr. re-signs with the Suns: 2 years, $30 million

$14,423,077

$15,576,923

Khem Birch re-signs with the Magic: 2 years, $6 million

$2,884,615

$3,115,385

Trey Lyles signs with the Spurs: 2 years, no other details yet

2019 NBA Offseason Days 8-9 Recap

OKC trades Jerami Grant to Denver
Nuggets receive:

Jerami Grant

$9,346,153

$9,346,153

Thunder receive:
2020 1st round pick, protected 1-10 through '22 then becomes two 2nd round picks

Delon Wright agrees to a sign-and-trade with the Mavericks: 3 years, $29 million
Mavericks receive:

Delon Wright

$9,206,349

$9,666,667

$10,126,984

Grizzlies receive:
Two future 2nd round picks
Draft rights to Satnam Singh (52nd pick in 2015)

Tyus Jones signs offer sheet with the Grizzlies: 3 years, $28 million

$8,888,889

$9,333,333

$9,777,778

Shams had it as $24 million compared to Malika Andrews' report, so some of it may be based on incentives.
-->

July 10th update: Minnesota decline to match.

Jabari Parker signs with the Hawks: 2 years, $13 million

$6,341,463

$6,658,537

JaMychal Green re-signs with the Clippers: 2 years, "$10 million"

$4,767,000

$5,005,350

Has to be the Room MLE
Avery Bradley signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $9.8 million

$4,767,000

$5,005,350

Another Room MLE deal.

Patrick McCaw re-signs with the Raptors

$3,902,439

$4,097,561

Likely the minimum, as well, which will net him $1,678,854.

July 9th update: To my surprise, this is actually a 2 year, $8 million deal, per Blake Murphy. We'll see how much of it is guaranteed.

Golden State and Atlanta swap former 1st round bigs
Hawks receive:

Damian Jones

$2,305,057

2026 2nd round pick

Warriors receive:

-->

Omari Spellman

$1,897,800

$1,988,280

$3,588,845

Perhaps most importantly, Golden State saves $407,257 against the hard cap.

Theo Pinson re-signs with the Nets: 2 years

-->

$1,445,697

$1,701,593

Safe to assume it's the minimum after he was converted from his two-way contract right at the end of the season.

Alec Burks signs with the Warriors: 1 year, minimum contract

After being released from his obligation to Oklahoma City now that they're looking at a rebuilding project, he'll instead be making his $2,320,044 minimum with Golden State.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson signs with the Raptors

Most likely the minimum, which is $1,737,145 for 4 year veteran.

2019 NBA Offseason Days 5-7 Recap aka When Kawhi Shook Up the League

Since nothing (thankfully) happened on the 4th of July I'm combining the last couple of days into one post, headlined by last night's STUNNING blockbuster.

Kawhi Leonard signs with the Clippers: 4 years, $140.8 million

$32,742,000

$34,379,100

$36,016,200

$37,653,300

No Finals MVP had ever left immediately after the championship until this.

Clippers trade for Paul George

Clippers receive:

Paul George

$33,005,556

$35,450,412

$37,895,268

Thunder receive:

Danilo Gallinari

$22,615,559

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

$3,952,920

$4,141,320

$5,495,532

Heat 2021 1st round pick
Clippers 2022, 2024, and 2026 1st round picks
Heat 2023 1st round pick (protected 1-14 through '25, then unprotected)
Right to swap 1st round picks in 2023 and 2025

Using the 1st they got in the trade for Moe Harkless, who could also possibly be the starting four next to that insane wing combination.

Danny Green signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $30 million

$14,634,146

$15,365,854

Marcus Morris signs with the Spurs: 2 years, "$20 million"

$9,258,000

$9,720,900

I'm estimating the full MLE here, which would explain why DeMarre Carroll's deal had to become 3 years: it's now a sign-and-trade instead of using the MLE that's now going to Morris.

Washington and Memphis swap expiring contracts

Wizards receive:

C.J. Miles

$8,730,158

Grizzlies receive:

Dwight Howard

$5,603,850

Memphis is already waiving Howard since this was a move just to save the $3.1 million difference in salary.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope re-signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $16 million

$7,692,308

$8,307,692

Brooklyn, San Antonio, and Washington complete three team sign-and-trade
Wizards receive:

Davis Bertans

$7,000,000

Spurs receive:

DeMarre Carroll

$6,666,667

$7,000,000

$7,333,333

Nets receive:
Draft rights to Aaron White (49th pick in 2015)
Draft rights to Nemanja Dangubic (54th pick in 2014)

Brooklyn is really doing San Antonio a favor here to facilitate the Morris signing, and ironically, I think Washington are using the trade exception from trading Markieff Morris to take in Bertans.

Ivica Zubac re-signs with the Clippers: 4 years, $28 million

$6,250,000

$6,750,000

$7,250,000

$7,750,000

JaVale McGree re-signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $8 million

$3,902,439

$4,097,561

Could wait to sign as the Room MLE to preserve cap space.

Stanley Johnson signs with the Raptors: 2 years, "$7.5 million"

$3,623,000

$3,804,150

All but certain that they are using the BAE, making them another hard-capped team.

DeMarcus Cousins signs with the Lakers: 1 year, $3.5 million
          $3,500,000

Back to back years he stunningly has no market, so he's only getting another one year deal that was initially reported as the $2,331,593 minimum for a 9 year veteran.

Quinn Cook signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $6 million

$2,926,829

$3,073,171

Alex Caruso re-signs with the Lakers: 2 years, $5.5 million

$2,644,231

$2,855,769

Rajon Rondo re-signs with the Lakers: 2 years, minimum contract

Because they gave him a second year, which is also a player option, he'll count as his full $2,564,753.

2019 NBA Offseason Day 4 Recap

Memphis and Atlanta swap terrible 2016 contracts
Hawks receive:

Chandler Parsons

$25,102,511

Grizzlies receive:

Solomon Hill	$12,758,781
Miles Plumlee	$12,500,000

Memphis picks up two young prospects from Phoenix
Grizzlies receive:

Josh Jackson

$7,059,480

$8,930,242

De'Anthony Melton

$1,416,852

2020 2nd round pick

2021 conditional 2nd round pick

Suns receive:

Kyle Korver

$7,500,000

Jevon Carter

$1,416,852

When Phoenix agreed to Ricky Rubio's signing, I said they needed another move to have the necessary space, and now they will be buying out the $3,440,00 that's guaranteed on Korver's contract to get there while maintaining Kelly Oubre Jr's cap hold.

Darius Miller re-signs with the Pelicans: 2 years, $14.25 million

$6,850,962

$7,399,038

Since they're keeping his cap hold on the books, that means one of their non-guaranteed contracts (Jahlil Okafor, Christian Wood, Frank Jackson, Kenrich Williams, or Dairis Bertans) will likely be cut to facilitate the space for their other signings before completing this one.

Markieff Morris signs with the Pistons

$3,623,000

$3,804,150

Guessing it's the full BAE.

Jake Layman agrees to a sign-and-trade with the Timberwolves: 3 years, $11.5 million

$3,581,986

$3,761,085

$3,940,185

-->
I'm using an estimate assuming it's the Dario Saric trade exception that they're using already, which would total $11.3 million, and this hard caps them.

Boban Marjanovic signs with the Mavericks: 2 years, $7 million

$3,414,634

$3,585,366

Could fit into the Room MLE to preserve cap space if needed.

TJ McConnell signs with the Pacers: 2 years, $7 million

$3,414,634

$3,585,366

Only $1 million guaranteed in the second year, per Michael Scotto.

Raul Neto signs with the 76ers: 1 year, minimum contract

He'll make $1,737,145 as a 4 year veteran.

2019 NBA Offseason Day 3 Recap

Rodney McGruder re-sings with the Clippers: 3 years, $15 million

$4,629,630

$5,000,000

$5,370,370

Can keep him at his small cap hold before officially completing this signing to preserve space.

Daniel Theis re-signs with the Celtics: 2 years, $10 million

$4,807,692

$5,192,308

This might be the equivalent of the Room MLE, but since they have his Early Bird rights to give the full $10 million, I'm estimating that for now.

Dorian Finney-Smith re-signs with the Mavericks: 3 years, $12 million

$3,703,704

$4,000,000

$4,296,296

Like the Kleber deal, this will likely become official once they use up the rest of their cap space since he has such a small cap hold of $1.9 million right now.

Ryan Arcidiacono re-signs with the Bulls: 3 years, $9 million

$2,777,778

$3,000,000

$3,222,222

Willie Cauley-Stein signs with the Warriors: "slightly above the minimum"

As a 4 year veteran, his minimum would be $1,737,145.

James Ennis re-signs with the 76ers: 2 years, minimum contract

$1,882,867

$2,130,023

Glenn Robinson III signs with the Warriors: 2 year deal

$1,882,867

$2,130,023

Almost has to be the minimum, and surprisingly going 2 years costs $262,303 in space compared to the veteran minimum for 1 year contracts.

July 10th update: Apparently it is actually only a one year pact despite Shams' initial report, which makes more sense considering their hard cap constraints.

Luke Kornet Signs with the Bulls: 2 years deal

$1,620,564

$1,762,796

Estimating the minimum for now, though they do have the Room MLE available.

Shake Milton re-signs with the 76ers: 4 year deal

No details yet, but this likely uses up all of their remaining cap space.

Jeff Green signs with the Jazz: 1 year, minimum contract

He will make $2,564,753.

Jared Dudley signs with the Lakers: 1 year, minimum contract

Like Green, he will make $2,564,753.

Wilson Chandler signs with the Nets: 1 year, minimum contract

Also $2,564,753 for Chandler.

Noah Vonleh signs with the Timberwolves: 1 year deal

Emmanuel Mudiay signs with the Jazz: 1 year, minimum contract

He will make $1,737,145.

Brad Wanamaker re-signs with the Celtics: 1 year, minimum contract
    $1,445,697


Vincent Poirier signs with the Celtics: 2 year deal

$898,310

$1,517,981

Assuming the minimum for now.