What is there even to say after last week's debacle? Blown double digit leads all over the played a part in home teams going 9-5 against the spread to kill me after they had been struggling with no fans to start the year. The road teams came through for me on Thanksgiving, however, so I'm going to stick with the #process that had me in good position before this disastrous month.
Road Favorites
Texans -2.5 at Lions
I went with the better quarterback that had more of his weapons available but didn't expect that kind of embarrassing performance from Detroit. It's not looking long for the Matt Patricia era.
Giants -5.5 at Bengals
Brandon Allen should be better than Ryan Finley would be as the fill-in quarterback, but Joe Burrow was the only reason Cincinnati was in games all season. That injury was one of the most devastating of this wretched year.
Dolphins -7.5 at Jets
Maybe this is too many points to lay on the road in a divisional game, but I think Miami's defense is up to the task. With Sam Darnold back, at least I don't have to worry about Joe Flacco YOLO balls ruining the cover this time.
Browns -6.5 at Jaguars
Does it even matter if it's Mike Glennon, Jake Luton, or even Gardner Minshew at this point for Jacksonville? They are missing key players on both sides of the ball, so this should easily be their 10th loss in a row.
Saints -5.5 at Broncos
Outdoors on the road will be a tougher test for Taysom Hill than his warmup against Atlanta's nonexistent defense, but New Orleans is so much more of a complete team. I don't see Drew Lock putting up many points against them.
Home Underdogs
Falcons +3.5 versus Raiders
The possible absence of Julio Jones again has me worried, but this road trip feels like a letdown game for Las Vegas after their narrow loss to Kansas City in prime time. Their defense showed why I don't trust them with leads.
Patriots +2.5 versus Cardinals
Arizona's offense and New England's defense are both coming off of a disappointing performances, so something has to give. I'll go with the more experienced team getting points at home.
Buccaneers +3.5 versus Chiefs
Tampa Bay has struggled in prime time against Chicago and New Orleans before bouncing back with huge wins against Green Bay and Carolina. Kansas City is a more difficult opponent this time, but I'm counting on the Bucs getting on track again.
Eagles +5.5 versus Seahawks
Seattle's defense has started to turn things around, but this is still too many points to trust them with on the road. Maybe I'm just a glutton for punishment with Philadelphia, so I'm going to reserve the right to change this one on Monday after thinking it over some more.
Home Favorites
Bills -5.5 versus Chargers
Los Angeles is so frustrating with how they waste their talent, and now their banged up defense has to travel across the country. After nearly blowing it against New York, I'm not looking forward to seeing how they do against Buffalo's explosive offense.
Rams -7.5 versus 49ers
San Francisco had the bye week to get somewhat healthy, but a swathe of players on the COVID reserve list leaves them shorthanded still. With LA looking like they have arguably the best defense in the league, I'm reluctantly laying the points in this divisional affair.
Packers -8.5 versus Bears
Speaking of large spreads in a divisional battle, I don't feel great about this many points after seeing Green Bay blow their 14 point lead twice last week. Mitchell Trubisky is back under center for Chicago, though, so a big bounce back game at home is definitely possible.
Steelers -4.5 versus Ravens
Road Underdogs
Washington +3.5 at Cowboys
I was counting on the better defense getting more than a field goal, and they delivered in a big way in the second half. Terry McLaurin's hustle to stop the pick-six definitely felt like the turning point that helped inspire them. What a stud.
.@TheTerry_25 ran him down 👀
— NFL (@NFL) November 27, 2020
📺: #WASvsDAL on FOX
📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app: https://t.co/t8ECNxwRaz pic.twitter.com/nXBnzt6kKX
Titans +4.5 at Colts
Tennessee hurt me in this same matchup a couple of weeks ago, but Indianapolis being shorthanded in the front seven doesn't bode well for a matchup against Derrick Henry. I would lean towards them still winning at home, but it should be a tight one.
Panthers +4.5 at Vikings
Teddy Bridgewater's return to Minnesota as a starter! I was prepared to go with the home side if Vegas overreacted to both teams' performances last week, but this ended up being too many points to lay as the Vikings defense reverted back to being unreliable.
Last week: 1-13
Season total: 77-84
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