Saturday, February 2, 2019

Super Bowl LIII Pick

Patriots -2.5 versus Rams

I know, this pick isn't unsurprising after the public has shifted the line so much in New England's favor after LA opened as a slight favorite, but the AFC Championship game reminded me why I hate picking against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. And to go further than just their experience edge over Jared Goff and Sean McVay, I like the matchup of their quick passing game helping to prevent Aaron Donald from generating that interior rush that impacts Brady. And on the other side, they can shadow Robert Woods with Stephon Gilmore in order to provide help over the top against former Patriot Brandin Cooks, similar to how they took Tyreek Hill out of the last game. Lastly, this game will be on the 17th anniversary of Super Bowl XXXVI between these two teams, which started this New England run in the first place. I'd almost say this would be a fitting way to go out, but at this point it seems like Brady is a robot that will just keep winning.

Season Total: 137-129

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