|Super Bowl XXXVI is the first one I remember, and it's hard to believe what it would kick off.|
Conversely, Atlanta's young, speedy defense is weak against the run with just a 29th DVOA ranking, which isn't entirely surprising since rookie linebackers Deion Jones and De'Vondre Campbell are only 222 lbs and 234 lbs, respectively, and second year stud Vic Beasley is 246 lbs. Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount is over 240 lbs and led the league with 18 rushing touchdowns, and I think he could have a huge imprint on this game if they are trying to bleed the clock on the ground game in the second half with a lead. At +1700 and +1750, he and fellow running back Dion Lewis are the best value bets for Super Bowl MVP, with Lewis' versatility making him my favorite pick. Getting off to a good start with the running game would also help control the time of possession to keep Atlanta's high flying offense off the field.
|Following up on my last post, they are now 16-0 with Lewis in the lineup.|
With all of that in mind, I am taking the favored team to win and cover. They have been the best team all year and have key matchups in their favor, so here it goes: New England -3 versus Atlanta in Houston.
Season total: 59-44-3