Thursday, April 25, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft V2

I wrote a bit too much about team needs and fit in my first mock draft, so here's a more succinct version that now includes trades. These trades are purely based on gut calls. Happy Draft Day everyone!

1. Chiefs: Eric Fisher, Central Michigan OT: The media buzz is that Fisher is now the pick.

2. Jaguars: Dion Jordan, Oregon DE/OLB: I think the talk of taking one of tackles is a smokescreen, or a trade is still a possibility.
Jordan's versatility makes him appealing to a lot of teams.
3. Raiders TRADE to Cardinals: Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M OT: This would be the spot to trade up to if Joeckel is available.

4. Eagles: Lane Johnson, Oklahoma OT: Philadelphia joins the run on tackles with the athletic Johnson for their up-tempo offense. He can push Todd Herremans to guard and eventually replace Jason Peters at left tackle.

5. Lions: Ezekiel Ansah, B.Y.U. DE: They could jump up to get a tackle or stay here for Ziggy.

6. Browns TRADE to Dolphins: Dee Milliner, Alabama CB: As of this writing, the Branden Albert trade is still on hold, so they could aim higher for a tackle or fill their other need at cornerback.

7. Raiders FROM Cardinals: Sharrif Floyd, Florida DT: In this scenario, Oakland picks up assets while still getting their guy, but the late buzz is that they love D.J. Hayden.
Floyd's stock could take a tumble if the Raiders don't nab him early.
8. Bills TRADE to 49ers: Star Lotulelei, Utah DT: With 13 picks, the buzz is that San Francisco wants to trade up into "the top 15," with Sheldon Richardson or Kenny Vaccaro being the targets. #13 makes sense with the Jets' having an extra pick, but I think the Bills make even more sense since they want to move down to get their quarterback, Ryan Nassib. Lotulelei could be the Niners' Haloti Ngata, capable of playing either the nose or end in their 3-4.

9. Jets: Barkevious Mingo, L.S.U. DE/OLB: New York has some more flexibility now that the Revis trade is complete, but Mingo is still the pick here.

10. Titans: Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina OG: This could be a spot for a trade.

11. Chargers: Chance Warmack, Alabama OG: Best offensive lineman available.

Hayden's stock has come a long way.
12. Browns FROM Dolphins: D.J. Hayden, Houston CB: Hayden is a late riser now that his medicals have cleared after a freak near death experience, and now some teams have him as their top corner due to Milliner's longer list of medical concerns. One of those teams may be Cleveland, who had been linked to Milliner before.

13. Jets (Via Buccaneers) TRADE to Rams: Tavon Austin, West Virginia WR: It may only be a couple of spots, but St. Louis is going to trade for their guy before someone else does.

14. Panthers: Sheldon Richardson, Missouri DT: Next best defensive tackle.

15. Saints: Kenny Vaccaro, Texas SS: A corner could make sense here as well. This could also be a spot teams target in a trade since New Orleans is short a second round pick.

16. Jets FROM Rams: Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame TE: Traded down and still get a big red zone threat.

17. Steelers: Jarvis Jones, Georgia OLB: Could see a defensive back here.

18. Cowboys: D.J. Fluker, Alabama OT: Good value here for either Fluker or a trade back if someone wants a quarterback or corner in this range.

19. Giants TRADE to Falcons: Xavier Rhodes, Florida State CB: Atlanta is going to be aggressive trying to trade up for a corner. The question may be whether it is Rhodes, Jamar Taylor, or Desmond Trufant.

20. Bears: Manti Te'o, Notre Dame LB: They could take a defensive tackle such as Sylvester Williams here, but I think they take the local product as their middle linebacker of the future.

21. Bengals TRADE to Eagles: Geno Smith, West Virginia QB: This trade up is a shot in the dark, but I think Philadelphia is still the landing spot for Smith instead of a lesser prospect such as E.J. Manuel in the second.

Opinions on Nassib widely vary.
22. Rams TRADE to Bills: Ryan Nassib, Syracuse QB: St. Louis has let it be known that this pick is available, and it would be the perfect spot for Buffalo to trade back up to get their guy.

23. Vikings: Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee WR: Another possible spot for a trade since Minnesota has two first round picks.

24. Colts: Tank Carradine, Florida State DE/OLB: With his strong showing at his pro day despite being  just five months removed from the torn ACL he suffered on November, he has shown his appeal to a team in the first round that could use him as situational pass rusher his rookie year.

25. Vikings: Sylvester Williams, North Carolina DT: Alec Ogletree would also make sense here since middle linebacker is their biggest need at this point, but Williams would provide better value as the next in line for the "Williams Wall" in their aging defensive front.

26. Packers: Datone Jones, UCLA DE: Still think this is the pick, barring a trade.

27. Texans: Menelik Watson, Florida State OT: Allen or DeAndre Hopkins is starting to grow on me as the pick here.

28. Broncos: Bjoern Werner, Florida State DE: They would probably love for his college teammate, Carradine, to be available here.
Werner should go higher purely for this meme.
29. Patriots: Keenan Allen, Cal WR: Allen is the better receiver, but if they want pure speed, Justin Hunter would make sense.

30. Giants FROM Falcons: Alec Ogletree, Georgia LB: They trade back and still get the player I originally projected them for. I still have my doubts about them valuing a linebacker, but he would likely be the best player available here.

31. Rams FROM Bills (Via 49ers): John Cyprien, Florida International S: Cyprien's stock could be depressed a bit by the depth of the safety class, but he would provide an immediate upgrade for St. Louis at either safety position.

32. Ravens: Arthur Brown, Kansas State LB: Baltimore has more picks than anyone in the draft besides the team they beat in the Super Bowl, so there is the possibility of aggressively trading up. However, I think a good player that fills one of their needs may slide right to this spot. Rolando McClain has already been arrested again, so Brown makes sense as an undersized inside linebacker for their 3-4, not unlike Ray Lewis.

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