Saturday, June 14, 2025

2025 NBA Offseason Tracker

The buzz around this year's NBA offseason is that the action could happen earlier than usual, so I'm just going to start my annual tracker now. This way I can list any players under contract that get traded during the draft here instead of having those in my separate post about every team's picks. 

The Rockets got things started already with the first extension reached right in the middle of the Finals, so I may as well get started now! As usual, players already under contract have their figures listed based on Keith Smith's work at Spotrac.com while salaries in bold italics are my own estimates based on reported numbers and the standard 5% or 8% raises that teams could give. Salaries are also color coded if they are a player option, a team option, or not fully guaranteed. Since this post will be constantly updated throughout the summer, I'll be adding the latest news at the top to be readily available upon revisiting this page.


Indy and New Orleans swap picks (Shams 6/17)

Pelicans receive:
#23 pick
Draft rights to Mojave King (47th pick in 2023)

Pacers receive:
Their 2026 1st round pick back

There were some rumblings of Indiana trading their pick this year in order to help reduce salary since the expected re-signing of Myles Turner will likely take them into the luxury tax, and getting their 1st back is a nice solution. Previously dealt in the Pascal Siakam trade, it was only top-4 protected through 2027 before converting to two 2nd rounders, so the current Eastern Conference champions were assuredly not going to have it next year. Now they have all of their future 1st rounders under control to open up trade possibilities, and those two 2nd rounders that this pick was unlikely to convert to are also unlocked again. 

The draft rights to a 2nd rounder from two years ago being involved here probably won't amount to anything as King hasn't show much improvement in the G League or back in the Australian NBL. He's only turning 24 next month, but I'm guessing the Pels just wanted something else to throw into future trades when they're required to send anything out like a fake 2nd or cash. Moving the pick forward is a solid deal for them since there's a good chance that the Pacers finish with an even better record next year for a worse pick. It also gives New Orleans more tangible draft capital now as they reportedly are looking to move up from their #7 slot for Ace Bailey, per Kevin O'Connor and Brett Siegel.

Bane surprisingly lands in Orlando (Shams 6/15)

Magic receive:
Desmond Bane$36,725,670$39,446,090$42,166,510$44,886,930

Grizzlies receive:
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope$21,621,500$21,621,500
Cole Anthony$13,100,000$13,100,000
#16 pick
2026 1st round pick (can swap the Magic's for the lesser of the Suns' or Wizards')
2028 1st round pick
Right to swap 2029 1st round picks (top-2 protected)
2030 1st round pick

Okay Houston extending one of their own guys is one thing, but a blockbuster like this going down with the NBA Finals sitting at 2-2 is pretty crazy. So much for the Anfernee Simons and Jordan Poole rumors for Orlando now that they've used most of their draft capital here, so I guess they're confident in the playmaking of Jalen Suggs with Bane in the back court to make things easier on Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner. They still have the #25 pick in this month's draft along with two 2nd rounders, but now the only future 1st rounder they could trade will be in 2032.

Bane brings much-needed shooting (career 41% on 6.3 per game, 7.7 per 36 minutes) to a team that was last in both made 3's and 3P%, and he has also averaged over 5 assists in each of the last two seasons. Providing pretty stout defense along with averaging 21.1 points over the past three seasons since his breakout year, he's become a complete guard who should compliment the strengths of Suggs and Anthony Black well. About to turn 27 on the day of the draft, the 4 years and $163 million left on his deal that was slightly below the 25% max when he signed should be a good value as the cap continues to rise. He'll be a tough loss for Memphis, but a package this large is hard to turn down as they continue to make changes after firing Taylor Jenkins late in the season. 

Thursday, June 5, 2025

Roster Analysis: How PG13 and Sabonis Influenced This Finals Matchup

With the NBA Finals about to start, I want to expand on something I put out there once the Conference Finals matchups were set: both the Thunder and Pacers ended up with their star guards thanks to trading Paul George. And really, Domantas Sabonis also has a key role in all of this, but I haven't seen his name thrown out there as often online by people having the same thought after me. There's also been a graphic going around tracing Oklahoma City's core to Rashard Lewis and the three 1st round picks that Sam Presti wound up with thanks to Kurt Thomas, which I wrote about all the way back in 2012 before their last Finals appearance.
I think going that far into the past is a little bit of a stretch, and it's actually both of these teams that can look back at a series of trades involving the same key pieces that started the path to this point nine years ago. I'll stick with the Thunder to start and will keep using screenshots from my past transaction tracker posts as references since that's kind the whole point of why I write them: to look back on how moves were made. Thankfully, I've used the same usual color key of player options/team options/not fully guaranteed/cap holds all these years.

Draft night 2016: In the wake of losing the Western Conference Finals and just weeks away from Kevin Durant's free agency, Presti decided to make a big change by dealing away Serge Ibaka ahead of his own free agency in 2017. The Orlando Magic, coming off of a 35-47 season and desperate to end their post-Dwight Howard rebuild, traded former #2 pick Victor Oladipo (also going into the last year of his contract) and the draft rights to the #11 pick pick that was used on Sabonis, with Ersan Ilyasova's non-guaranteed contract included to match salary before he was traded at the start of the season.