49ers +1.5 versus Chiefs
Maybe it's just the Niners fan in me, but this reminds me of Super Bowl XIX with San Francisco taking on a hotshot young quarterback in his second year as a starter. Pat Mahomes may be even more talented than Dan Marino, quite possibly even the most talented of all time, but this is the best defense he'll have faced in the playoffs by a large margin. Although Tyreek Hill's speed is a major concern for the 49ers secondary, their pass rush has an advantage against KC's offensive line, limiting the time for Mahomes to launch it deep. If you're looking for a dark horse Super Bowl MVP bet, I like Dee Ford at 45-1 odds against his former team. I also like the chances of Jaquiski Tartt, Fred Warner, and Kwon Alexander containing Travis Kelce over the middle better than those of Tyrann Mathieu, Anthony Hitchens, and Damien Wilson stopping George Kittle in a battle of the two best tight ends in the league. This could come down to how much faith you have in Jimmy Garoppolo stepping up in the spotlight after not being asked to do much so far in the playoffs, but he is more than capable of doing enough to lead the more complete team to title.
Last week: 1-1
Season total: 150-116
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