Saturday, October 31, 2015

2015 NFL Week 8 Picks

Dolphins +8 at Patriots

I thought the rejuvenated 'Phins under Dan Campbell could put up a fight against the defending champs, but New England is in a completely different stratosphere than their previous opponents.

Lions +3.5 versus Chiefs (in London)

Kansas City's offense line is coming together and playing much better than their Detroit counterpart, but I'm counting on the Lions coaching shakeup kick starting the offense and taking the points with the team who got a win in London last year.

Vikings PK at Bears

Minnesota continues to be underrated despite their defense's high level of play. Chicago's defense has been trending upward, as well, but I think the Vikings can put up points in this one.
All Day always kills the Bears, averaging 116.3 rushing yards in 12 career games against them.

Sunday, October 25, 2015

2015 NFL Week 7 Picks

49ers +6.5 versus Seahawks

I should have known better than to stick with the home team getting points on a short week. Seattle always poses a bad matchup for them with their pass rush and specifically Cliff Avril on the right side.

Jaguars +4 versus Bills (in London)

It's tempting to go with the better team on the neutral field, but Buffalo just has too many injuries to deal with. Seeing studly wide receiver Allen Robinson do battle with impressive corners Ronald Darby and Stephon Gillmore should be fun to watch.

Rams -6.5 versus Browns

Todd Gurley against Cleveland's run defense just isn't fair. The line is a bit high, but I'll lay the points against Josh McCown on the road.
Gurley often looks like a man among boys out there.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

2015 NFL Week 6 Picks

Falcons -3 at Saints

The Saints defense didn't exactly stop the Falcons so much that they stopped themselves. Atlanta's inability to adjust to the ageless Ben Watson continuously killing them was astounding, but I should have known better than to expect them to remain undefeated with the short week on the road.

Broncos -3.5 at Browns

It's officially time to worry about Peyton Manning after his struggles continued against Oakland's underwhelming secondary, but Cleveland's missing top corner Joe Haden for this game. I'm counting on Josh McCown coming back down to earth against the best defense in the league.

Bengals -3 at Bills

Coming off Cincinnati's dramatic comeback, this line almost feels like a trap against a backup quarterback that doesn't have a ton of game film to study, but Buffalo's offense is so banged up right now. I'll take my chances with the better team against E.J. Manuel.

Vikings -3.5 versus Chiefs

Kansas City was looking good last week until the horrible Jamaal Charles injury, and now they're on the road against a talented team coming off a bye week. Minnesota's strong secondary will make it tough for Alex Smith to try and carry the offense.
Charcandrick West might be a poor man's Charles, but they'll need more than that.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

2015 NFL Week 5 Picks

Texans -5 versus Colts

Maybe I overreacted to Indy's injuries, but I thought Houston would take care of business at home. Nuk Hopkins continues to be a monster, but I was impressed by the Colts' ability to keep pressure away from Matt Hasselbeck.

Jaguars +3 at Buccaneers

I continue to be a believer in Jacksonville, especially against a defense that offers little resistance and can't seem to win at home. Coming off his first 100 yard game, this is a good spot for workhorse T.J. Yeldon to get his first score after having one called back in Week 2.

Bills -1 at Titans

I'm somewhat concerned about Buffalo's ability to consistently move the ball with their injuries, and Vegas agrees, with the line dropping from -3. However, I'm not sold on Ken Whisenhunt having his troops ready off the bye and feel better about Rex Ryan bouncing back from a disappointing loss.
It's close, but I"m betting on Marcell Dareus and the strength of this defense.

Sunday, October 4, 2015

2015 NFL Week 4 Picks

Ravens -3 at Steelers

Hopefully you got Baltimore when they were still -2.5 since this ended up as a push.

Dolphins +1.5 versus Jets (in London)

Miami's offensive coordinator, Bill Lazor, came from the Eagles, and they got their offense going a bit despite a tough matchup on paper against these Jets last week. The Dolphins' defense has to live up to their potential eventually, don't they?

Jaguars +9 at Colts

Can't feel comfortable laying this many points with Andrew Luck's status up in the air, despite Jacksonville getting shellacked on the road last week.
Feed T.J. Yeldon; stay in the game.